- November 2, 2020
- No Comment
- 198
President Trump has a powerful support in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania
US President Donald Trump remains within a shorter distance of Democratic nominee Joe Biden in 3 major battleground states. He trails the former vice president by 1% point in both Florida and Arizona and is 0.4% behind in Georgia State. Both candidates have been neck-and-neck in the above 3 states since July 2020. RealClearPolitics has published these figures and it is a polling data aggregator that tracks the US presidential race. Most of the major polls carry a margin of error of around 3% points. It could affect both candidates standing in either direction. Florida is however the most important of those 3 states to Donald Trump’s chances of winning reelection with 29 Electoral College votes.
Point to be noted that Arizona carries 11 and Georgia carry 16 Electoral College votes. But, they could be significant in helping him reach the 270 needed for victory together with other battleground states where Trump is winning such as Texas, Iowa, and North Carolina. Moreover, any Trump 2020 win will almost certainly need the President to carry one of 3 states he secured from Democrats in the 2016 election Including Pennsylvania, Michigan, or Wisconsin. President Trump’s numbers in the aforementioned states are looking less positive. He is 4.3% behind in Pennsylvania, 5.1% in Michigan, and 6.6% in Wisconsin. Hilary Clinton’s 2016 run to the White House proved that polls can’t always be trusted however those are healthy leads for Biden.
Some analysts have pointed to the Florida governor race as evidence the polls still may not be right. The New York Times data showed that Ron DeSantis was some 3% points behind Andrew Gillum in the 2018 race but finally took a 0.4% victory. Republicans have for years been making concerted efforts to register new voters. Democrats were on Saturday spooked by a poll coming out of Iowa showing the president up by 7%. It was reportedly the similar advantage he held over the former secretary of state Hillary Clinton in 2016. It is noteworthy that the RealClearPolitics poll says Biden’s national lead stands at 6.5%. He led by almost 10% at the beginning of September 2020. Betfair poll data shows President Trump has a 33% winning chance.